BOB LARSON'S TENNIS NEWS
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Monday, November 7, 2011
PRO TOUR NEWS - MEN

****** EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ******

* Federer earns another Basel title
* Granollers picks up biggest title of career
* Butorac/Rojer can't solve Bryans

****** TODAY'S MEN'S NEWS ******

BaselBasel

Singles - Final: (1) R Federer def. K Nishikori (WC) 6-1 6-3
The odds against Roger Federer seemed long when this tournament started. The field was tough. The organizers were not particularly kind in scheduling his matches. But -- this is Basel. It's Federer's home tournament; he has been coming here for more than a dozen years. The crowds love him.
Three years ago, Rafael Nadal declared of Kei Nishikori, "When he has a little bit time with the forehand, he kill you every time." Nadal went on to predict that Nishikori would reach the Top Ten at least -- although it would take a few years. That, of course, was before all the injuries. Now, injury-free, Nishikori seems to be trying to make good on that threat. But, of course, Federer didn't give him any time. Nishikori won't even be making the Top Twenty at this time; we show him at #25. But if he can play a full year the way he has played the last three or four months -- well, put it this way. We show Nishikori with 1500 points. 900 of those have come since Wimbledon. Project that over a year and it puts him at about #16. And he'll be seeded next year, so it might be higher still.
Roger Federer picks up only his second title of the year, following Doha all the way back in January. Talk about a disappointing season! Little wonder he is down to #4. And, since he merely defends his points, this won't improve his ranking. But at least he improves his margin over David Ferrer. He hasn't clinched the year-end #4, but it looks much more likely.

Doubles - Final: (1) Llodra/Zimonjic def. (2) Mirnyi/Nestor 6-4 7-5
There really isn't much question about who has been the hottest team in doubles in the second half of 2011. Llodra/Zimonjic show it again. It's their fourth title since Wimbledon, and all of them have been 500 point events or better. They won't make #1 this year. Next year, though, seems like a real possibility.
Valencia

Valencia

Singles - Final: M Granollers def. J Monaco (WC) 6-2 4-6 7-6(7-3)
Talk about a monster final -- and one with a lot of twists and turns. Juan Monaco led for much of the third set, but, scraping and changing the pace, Marcel Granollers managed to get back on serve at about the two and a half hour mark, then made it to 5-4, deuce, Monaco serving to stay in the match. Granollers had three match points in that game, but Monaco held. They made it to 6-6. Granollers went up 4-1 in the tiebreak, and made it hold up, winning just as the clock hit the three hour mark.
It's the third title for Marcel Granollers, and his second this year (he also won Gstaad) -- but it is noteworthy because it's a big (500 point) title, and it's on indoor hardcourt, not clay. That's a pretty big breakthrough. He said it himself: "Winning here has been the biggest achievement in my whole career. It was a difficult moment for me, being a break down in the third. I kept fighting and at the end, I played very good."
The points aren't bad, either. Even though Granollers was defending finalist points, we show him rising six places, to #28. Obviously he just earned himself an Australian Open seed.
Juan Monaco, #41 coming in, rises to probably #34. He may not be seeded in Melbourne, but he definitely takes a big step toward it. Pretty good for a guy who needed a wildcard to get into the event!

Doubles - Final: (1) Bryan/Bryan def. Butorac/Rojer 6-4 7-6(11-9)
And so it really will go down to the wire. We have an effective tie for the #8 spot in the doubles Race between Butorac/Rojer and Fyrstenberg/Matkowski. Whichever team lasts longer gets the spot; ties apparently go to Butorac/Rojer. Oh, there are a few other just-barely-possible outcomes, involving someone overtaking the #7 team Bopanna/Qureshi, but that will take a lot of unlikely outcomes! It's really just the two.
The Bryans, after a tough summer, now have back-to-back titles. They'll still have to worry about Llodra/Zimonjic next year, but they're definitely strengthening their grip on the top spots.

Paris

The year will be ending a little early for Juan Martin del Potro.

Del Potro began complaining of shoulder problems at Valencia, and on Sunday he decided that they were bad enough that he needs to take time off. He will not be playing Paris. He becomes the third Top Fifteen player (following Rafael Nadal and Robin Soderling) to withdraw.

Del Potro naturally loses any chance to qualify for the London championships. That still doesn't produce any clinches, though; Thomas Berdych, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, and Mardy Fish are still close to tied, with Nicolas Almagro and Janko Tipsarevic having outside chances to pass them.

As of this writing, the ATP has not updated the draw.

We're still waiting to see if Novak Djokovic can play.

****** TODAY'S FEATURE ******

KEYWORDS: No Feature Today

******** THIS WEEK IN TENNIS ********

THIS WEEK ON THE ATP WORLD TOUR:
Paris (1000/Indoor Hard). Defending Champion: Robin Soderling

NEXT WEEK ON THE ATP WORLD TOUR:
Off Week

******** STATS AND FACTS ********

**RANKINGS

Estimated ATP World Tour Rankings
As of November 6, 2011


Rank &
Prior...Player...........Points
 1..(1) Djokovic..........13740
 2..(2) Nadal.............10375
 3..(3) Murray.............7780
 4..(4) Federer............7530
 5..(5) Ferrer.............4390
 6..(6) Soderling..........3320
 7..(7) Berdych............3230
 8..(8) Tsonga.............3040
 9..(9) Fish...............2965
10.(10) Monfils............2525
11.(11) Almagro............2380
12.(14) Del Potro..........2315
13.(13) Tipsarevic.........2305
14.(12) Simon..............2195
15.(15) Roddick............2030
16.(19) Wawrinka...........1900
17.(16) Dolgopolov.........1835
18.(18) Gasquet............1760
19.(20) Cilic..............1745
20.(17) Troicki............1730
21.(21) Lopez..............1675
21.(22) Mayer..............1675
23.(24) Verdasco...........1595
24.(23) Isner..............1590
25.(32) Nishikori..........1500
26.(25) Stepanek...........1355
27.(26) Melzer.............1350
28.(34) Granollers.........1335
29.(27) Raonic.............1290
30.(28) Chela..............1280
30.(31) Ljubicic...........1280

**DRAWS

Basel -- Week of October 31

WINNER: Roger Federer
...................QF.............SF..........F
(1)Djokovic........(1)Djokovic....Djokovic
(8)Troicki.........Baghdatis
(4)Berdych.........Nishikori......Nishikori...Nishikori
(5)Fish............Kukushkin(LL)
 
(7)Roddick.........(7)Roddick
(3)Federer.........(3)Federer.....Federer.....Federer
(6)Tipsarevic......Mayer
[Chiudinelli(LL)]..Wawrinka.......Wawrinka

Status of Seeds
(1)Djokovic......lost SF (Nishikori)
(2)Murray (WC)...WITHDREW (replaced by Chiudinelli)
(3)Federer.......WON TOURNAMENT
(4)Berdych.......lost 1R (Nishikori)
(5)Fish..........lost 1R (Blake)
(6)Tipsarevic....lost 1R (Mayer)
(7)Roddick.......lost SF (Federer)
(8)Troicki.......lost 1R (Baghdatis)

Valencia -- Week of October 31

WINNER: Marcel Granolers
..................QF...............SF...........F
(1)Ferrer.........(1)Ferrer........Ferrer
(5)Simon..........Davydenko
(4)Almagro........Monaco...........Monaco.......Monaco
(8)Lopez..........Ferrero
 
(7)Dolgopolov.....Granollers.......Granollers...Granollers
(3)Monfils........(3)Monfils
(6)del Potro......(6)del Potro.....del Potro
(2)Tsonga.........Querrey

Status of Seeds
(1)Ferrer........lost SF (Monaco)
(2)Tsonga........lost 2R (Querrey)
(3)Monfils.......lost QF (Granollers)
(4)Almagro.......lost 1R (Monaco)
(5)Simon.........lost 1R (Davydenko)
(6)del Potro.....lost SF (Granollers)
(7)Dolgopolov....lost 1R (Granollers)
(8)Lopez.........lost 1R (Bogomolov)

Paris -- Week of November 6


1 Djokovic
  --bye
  Fognini
  Dodig
  Nishikori (SE)
  Stakhovsky (Q)
  --bye
16 Troicki
 
9 Almagro
  --bye
  Seppi (Q)
  Davydenko
  Garcia-Lopez
  Giraldo (Q)
  --bye
6 Tsonga
 
4 Ferrer
  --bye
  Ferrero
  Mahut (Q)
  Youzhny
  Kohlschreiber (Q)
  --bye
14 Dolgopolov
 
12 del Potro
  --bye
  Wawrinka
  Isner
  Llodra
  F Lopez
  --bye
8 Monfils
 
7 Fish
  --bye
  F Mayer
  Stepanek
  Monaco
  Young (Q)
  --bye
10 Simon
 
16 Gasquet
  --bye
  Muller
  Anderson
  Tursunov
  Mannarino (WC)
  --bye
3 Federer
 
5 Berdych
  --bye
  Cilic
  Verdasco
  Bellucci
  Bogomolov
  --bye
11 Tipsarevic
 
13 Roddick
  --bye
  Raonic
  Benneteau (WC)
  Chardy (WC)
  Granollers
  --bye
2 Murray

******** SCORES ********

SUNDAY

Basel
Singles - Final
  (1) R Federer def. K Nishikori (WC) 6-1 6-3
Doubles - Final
  (1) Llodra/Zimonjic def. (2) Mirnyi/Nestor 6-4 7-5

Valencia
Singles - Final
  M Granollers def. J Monaco (WC) 6-2 4-6 7-6(7-3)
Doubles - Final
  (1) Bryan/Bryan def. Butorac/Rojer 6-4 7-6(11-9)

***

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Robert Waltz - Contributor
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Copyright © 2011. No duplication is permitted without the express written consent of Bob Larson Tennis